diff --git a/_data/keynotes.yml b/_data/keynotes.yml index e3cee5f8172828067cdf6a016679eb79fcf8c2bd..a45a7cc001b5d55235cc47f1de2fbf65208f2aaa 100644 --- a/_data/keynotes.yml +++ b/_data/keynotes.yml @@ -65,11 +65,27 @@ - firstname: Gilles lastname: Ardourel photo: ardourel.jpg - title: TBD + title: | + Using statistical model checking in a process for evaluating and calibrating + a model of tropical forest dynamics affiliation: Université de Nantes, France position: Assistant Professor website: https://sciences-techniques.univ-nantes.fr/gilles-ardourel - abstract: TBD + abstract: | + Modeling of tropical forest dynamics is particularly challenging, notably + because of the variability of plant species which tends to require + additional complexity and non identifiable parameters in models. In this + talk, we will describe the procedure we used to calibrate such a model and + generate - using SMC - sets of parameters that closely reproduce actual data + from several plots in the Amazon basin, the majority of which was subject to + logging in 1988. Rather than a single set of parameters, our method returns + several small cells extracted from a large parameter space, which represent + possible forest dynamics while taking into account the heterogeneity of the + different plots using a reduced set of non directly identifiable parameters. + The results are then used to simulate various intensity and frequency of + logging to assess the level of resilience of the forest ecosystem. Finally, + we will offer a few perspectives on techniques which could allow for a finer + integration of the domain experts in the process. bio: TBD # - firstname: # lastname: